Institute of Politics

Fred P. Hochberg

Former Chairman & President of the U.S. Export-Import Bank

  • Fall 2017 Pritzker Fellow

  • Seminar Series: “The Politics of Globalization: How Trade Became a Four-Letter Word”

    Seminars

Biography

Seminars

“The Politics of Globalization: How Trade Became a Four-Letter Word”

We have a global economy that is more interconnected and ruthlessly competitive than ever before, with governments around the world focused on creating jobs for their rapidly urbanizing populations. These factors, which were accelerated by the Great Recession, have engendered a disruptive rise in nationalism and a desire for retrenchment across the United States. Trade has become a four-letter word.

The unprecedented five-month closure of the Export-Import Bank of the United States in 2015, taken together with the fight over TPP and the role trade played in the 2016 election and the first nine months of the Trump administration, gives us an indication of what lies ahead. Candidates Trump and Sanders aligned on trade; moderate Republicans joined with liberal Democrats to save the EXIM Bank; and President Obama battled his own party on TPP. The political consensus on trade has been obliterated, with nationalism facing off with globalism, and different views on the role of government cutting across both strains.

This seminar will examine the recent history of our trade politics; discuss the roles that business, labor, the political parties, executive branch agencies, and global institutions play in influencing the debate; and dissect the real-world debates mentioned above. We’ll then apply those lessons to what lies ahead: NAFTA renegotiation, a UK-US trade agreement, a trade war with China, the 2020 election, and more. Where will this new left-right anti-trade coalition take us? Can we forge policies that are both pro-worker and pro-trade? And is there a way to reframe the rhetoric so that a new message and a new politics could take hold?

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